Forecast visualisation (Ireland)

Forecast visualisations. The date of the tab marks the date on which a forecast was made (only last 4 weeks shown).

2021-06-14

Cases

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

Deaths

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

2021-06-07

Cases

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

Deaths

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

2021-05-31

Cases

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

Deaths

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

2021-05-24

Cases

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

Deaths

No forecasts available, possibly because of recent anomalies in the available data.

2021-05-17

Cases

Deaths

2021-05-10

Cases

Deaths


Forecast scores (Ireland)

Scores separated by target and forecast horizon. Only models with submissions in each of the last 4 weeks are shown.

Cases

1 week ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.

2 weeks ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.

3 weeks ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.

4 weeks ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.

Deaths

1 week ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.

2 weeks ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.

3 weeks ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.

4 weeks ahead horizon

Rankings are only created for models that were used for forecasts in each of the last 4 weeks, excluding periods during which there were anomalies in the data. At the moment no model fulfills that criterion.


Evaluation metrics


Scores over time (Ireland)

Visualisation of the weighted interval score over time. In addition, the components of the interval score, sharpness (how narrow are forecasts - smaller is better), and penalties for underprediction and overprediction are shown. Scores are again separated by forecast horizon

1 week ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

2 weeks ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

3 weeks ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

4 weeks ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

If you want to learn more about a model, you can go the the ‘data-processed’-folder of the European Forecast Hub github repository, select a model and access the metadata file with further information provided by the model authors.